It's not on the line in the handicap match, because obviously they don't want Punk to end up with it or for people to think he could end up with it. But what I think will happen is that Heyman will somehow pin Punk, but then run for his life out of the arena. Axel will try to follow but someone will stop Axel and say that he has to stay for a second match to defend the IC Title since it is Night of Champions. Punk will then cost Axel the title. Think similar to NoC 2009 when HBK interfered and cost Y2J the IC Title to Kofi.